Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000922 1.059708e-03 0.001200 0.001352 0.001511 0.001674 0.001850
2025-07-20 0.000667 8.583913e-04 0.001060 0.001287 0.001532 0.001788 0.002072
2025-07-27 0.000534 7.667139e-04 0.001022 0.001318 0.001644 0.001991 0.002383
2025-08-03 0.000399 6.552122e-04 0.000950 0.001301 0.001698 0.002126 0.002617
2025-08-10 0.000258 5.162579e-04 0.000832 0.001222 0.001675 0.002171 0.002747
2025-08-17 0.000169 4.257792e-04 0.000761 0.001190 0.001698 0.002263 0.002926
2025-08-24 0.000084 3.200019e-04 0.000659 0.001111 0.001661 0.002283 0.003020
2025-08-31 0.000042 2.632013e-04 0.000612 0.001096 0.001694 0.002379 0.003198
2025-09-07 0.000020 2.289890e-04 0.000593 0.001111 0.001762 0.002513 0.003415
2025-09-14 0.000002 1.768429e-04 0.000539 0.001078 0.001768 0.002573 0.003548
2025-09-21 NaN 1.550172e-04 0.000529 0.001100 0.001840 0.002709 0.003765
2025-09-28 NaN 1.493966e-04 0.000544 0.001155 0.001952 0.002891 0.004035
2025-10-05 NaN 1.004880e-04 0.000488 0.001127 0.001981 0.002998 0.004247
2025-10-12 NaN 5.275837e-05 0.000418 0.001074 0.001976 0.003067 0.004417
2025-10-19 NaN 3.675905e-05 0.000407 0.001106 0.002081 0.003269 0.004745
2025-10-26 NaN 1.575236e-05 0.000369 0.001093 0.002127 0.003398 0.004987
2025-11-02 NaN 7.043692e-08 0.000298 0.001022 0.002091 0.003426 0.005109
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000257 0.000993 0.002109 0.003519 0.005306
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000197 0.000921 0.002065 0.003531 0.005405
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000171 0.000908 0.002099 0.003640 0.005619
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000160 0.000922 0.002172 0.003796 0.005889
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000131 0.000892 0.002179 0.003869 0.006058
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000125 0.000912 0.002259 0.004034 0.006336